Everything in France right now is about the presidential election. If just the smallest thing happen, the candidates have to make a statement about it and declare that with their politics the incendent would never have happend.
The first round of the elections will take place this Sunday (22nd of April) and there are 12 candidates to vote for. If one of the candidates gets more than 50% of the votes this candicate will be the new president. -However, this will not happen. None of the candidates are even near to get those 50%. So the elections will go into the second round which will take place on the 6th of May.
Due to the large number of candidates in the first round, many of the candidates with only a small percentage (between 0.5-4%) will take a lot of votes from the candidates with higher percentage numbers which has a higher chance of getting elected. I some difficulties to understand why people bother to put their votes on a candidate which anyway doesn't have a chance (and even harder to understand why someone would candidate to become a president if s/he will get less than 1%). I have, however, understod that a lot of people use the first round to show their disapointment of the "etablissement". During the last election this disapointment led to that the nationalistic candidate Le Pen went to the second round - where he lost towards Chirac. The main reason to this was more or less that the socialist/communist voters where spreading out there votes on several candidates. Allthough, this year there is still a lot of communist candidates that battles of being - la gauche de la gauche (more left than the others). However, none of them gets especially high percentage, and the only left candidate with a chance seems to be Ségolène Royal (Ségo). The other two candidates which still stand a chance is Nicolas Sarkozy (Sarko), which is probably the most unpopular candidate, but his party UMP (conservatives) can a lot of support from the French, and the last candidate François Bayrou which accord to the French media is a "extrème centrist" from the UDF. All three of them have between 20% and 30%. Theoretically Le Pen still have chance, but I rather think nor hope that he will go to the second round, and if he does he will not stand a chance against the other candidates.
The elections have much to do about which candidate people don't support, rather than who they do support. An intresting scenario is if Bayrou who is the third candidate (the Third man) in most polls would go to the second round. Although Sarkozy and Ségolène have the highest percentage there are probably more people that wouldn't like to seem them as presidents than would, so probably noone of them would stand a chance against Bayrou in the last round - who is not as popular but also not as impopular as both of them. The most likely would however be that Sarkozy and Ségolène will go to the second round - and according to the polls Sarkozy will be the new president. However, is it something French people know is it not to trust "les sondages".
An intressting note about Le Pen has gotten as much media attention in French media as the other candidates. For a long time in Sweden the Swedish nationalistic party almost never got any attention - it seems however as if it going to change. Although in Sweden luckily Sverige Demokraterna still only has around 2% which support them towards Le Pens front national which has about 13%.
Friday, April 20, 2007
Wednesday, April 04, 2007
The fastest train on rail
Since I start writing this blog, I've mostly concentrated on the negative aspects of living in France. Of course there is not only negative thing - otherwise I wouldn't live here :)
I guess I more easily see all the negative when I am here - and when I'm back in Sweden I complain about the Swedes... :)
On the contrary I will write about one of the best things with France this time: the TGV. Yesterday's headlines in all French newpappers was the new speed record made by a train: 574.8 km/h. The news even reached Swedish Media (DN and SvD) - a B-nation in high-speed train technology.
The current high-speed train record set by a Japanese MagLev train (magnetic levitation) is 581 km/h. But as the PDG (CEO) of SNCF (the French railways systems) proudly claims -MagLev is not a real train. What he means is that since TGV runs on rails which already are in use, for using the MagLev trains expensive magnetic tracks are needed. In fact the only MagLev trains in use today is the Shanghai Airport Express (built by the German MagLev consortium). Except for airport lines and between two dense city I think it will be hard to finance building MagLev trainlines - at least during the following 10 years. However the MagLev trains have a good potential of reaching speeds over 1000 km/h so I believe it could be the transport system of the future. Until then I gladly cross "la hexagone" from Grenoble to Paris under 3 hours (in 320 km/h which is the actual maximum speed today in France). Considering the actual (average) speed between TGV and MagLev also talks in favour of the TGV - 260 km/h vs 245 km/h.
So how about the Swedish "high speed train" X2000. Comparing the line Paris-Lyon (460 km), which takes less than 2 hours (1h55) with TGV, with Stockholm-Gothembourg (465 km), which takes less than 3 hours (2h57) with X2000. One hour - and I quite important one. Whereas a business man in Stockholm still considers to take the flight to Gothembourg, noone from Paris is even thinking about taking the plane to Lyon (there are even a direct line between the airport in Paris and the airpot in Lyon).
X2000 has a top speed at 276 km/h, however Swedish regulations limit the maximum speed to 200 km/h which gives an avarage travel speed at 150 km/h. The problem is that in Sweden, in contrast to most other EU15 countries, no high-speed rails are built. And no high-speed rails are planned before 2015. However, going from Stockholm to Gothenburg with X2000 you get some advantages. You can have nice small pauses at the wonderful metropols: Alingsås, Skövde and Katrinholm. Aka Ingvar Carlsson-land, Bert Karlsson-land and Göran Persson-land. You don't get that with the TGV.
I guess I more easily see all the negative when I am here - and when I'm back in Sweden I complain about the Swedes... :)
On the contrary I will write about one of the best things with France this time: the TGV. Yesterday's headlines in all French newpappers was the new speed record made by a train: 574.8 km/h. The news even reached Swedish Media (DN and SvD) - a B-nation in high-speed train technology.
The current high-speed train record set by a Japanese MagLev train (magnetic levitation) is 581 km/h. But as the PDG (CEO) of SNCF (the French railways systems) proudly claims -MagLev is not a real train. What he means is that since TGV runs on rails which already are in use, for using the MagLev trains expensive magnetic tracks are needed. In fact the only MagLev trains in use today is the Shanghai Airport Express (built by the German MagLev consortium). Except for airport lines and between two dense city I think it will be hard to finance building MagLev trainlines - at least during the following 10 years. However the MagLev trains have a good potential of reaching speeds over 1000 km/h so I believe it could be the transport system of the future. Until then I gladly cross "la hexagone" from Grenoble to Paris under 3 hours (in 320 km/h which is the actual maximum speed today in France). Considering the actual (average) speed between TGV and MagLev also talks in favour of the TGV - 260 km/h vs 245 km/h.
So how about the Swedish "high speed train" X2000. Comparing the line Paris-Lyon (460 km), which takes less than 2 hours (1h55) with TGV, with Stockholm-Gothembourg (465 km), which takes less than 3 hours (2h57) with X2000. One hour - and I quite important one. Whereas a business man in Stockholm still considers to take the flight to Gothembourg, noone from Paris is even thinking about taking the plane to Lyon (there are even a direct line between the airport in Paris and the airpot in Lyon).
X2000 has a top speed at 276 km/h, however Swedish regulations limit the maximum speed to 200 km/h which gives an avarage travel speed at 150 km/h. The problem is that in Sweden, in contrast to most other EU15 countries, no high-speed rails are built. And no high-speed rails are planned before 2015. However, going from Stockholm to Gothenburg with X2000 you get some advantages. You can have nice small pauses at the wonderful metropols: Alingsås, Skövde and Katrinholm. Aka Ingvar Carlsson-land, Bert Karlsson-land and Göran Persson-land. You don't get that with the TGV.
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